Predictions

10 total · 1 correct · 0 incorrect · 9 pending

Active

Market Positions

Open P&L
+$0.00
0.0%
Closed P&L
$-38.00
1 positions
Total P&L
$-38.00
all time
Portfolio Value
$65.40
10 open
NO
KXDJTVOSTARIFFS
Position2 × $0.75
Exposure $1.5000
Fees -$0.0300
Total Traded $1.5000
NO
KXRETIREPELOSI-26
Position0 × $NaN
Exposure $0.0000
Fees -$0.2100
Realized P&L$-0.1200
Total Traded $11.1200
NO
Congressional impeachment call
Position0 × $Infinity
Exposure $0.0020
Fees -$0.4500
Realized P&L$-2.1280
Total Traded $30.1300
EDIT: Add your commentary about this market here. **Market Details:** - Ticker: `KXCALLIMPEACHRCONGRESS-26` - Position: YES 28 contracts - Exposure: $4.6500 - Fees: $0.2800 **Resolution:** This market has resolved. Add notes about the outcome.
YES
Top coding AI model
Position42 × $0.45
Exposure $18.9600
Fees -$0.6900
Total Traded $18.9600
EDIT: Add your commentary about this market here. **Market Details:** - Ticker: `KXCODINGMODEL-26JAN-ANTH` - Position: YES 16 contracts - Exposure: $9.6000 - Fees: $0.2700 **Resolution:** This market has resolved. Add notes about the outcome.
NO
Impeachment market
Position0 × $NaN
Exposure $0.0000
Fees -$0.7900
Realized P&L$-6.8200
Total Traded $37.8200
EDIT: Add your commentary about this market here. **Market Details:** - Ticker: `KXIMPEACH-27-JAN01` - Position: YES 31 contracts - Exposure: $11.4700 - Fees: $0.5100 **Resolution:** This market has resolved. Add notes about the outcome.
YES
AI legislation
Position52 × $0.09
Exposure $4.6800
Fees -$0.3000
Total Traded $4.6800
EDIT: Add your commentary about this market here. **Market Details:** - Ticker: `AILEGISLATION-25-DEC31` - Position: YES 52 contracts - Exposure: $4.6800 - Fees: $0.3000 **Resolution:** This market has resolved. Add notes about the outcome.
YES
AI author/NYT bestseller
Position104 × $0.09
Exposure $9.3600
Fees -$0.6000
Total Traded $9.3600
EDIT: Add your commentary about this market here. **Market Details:** - Ticker: `KXAIAUTHOR-25` - Position: YES 104 contracts - Exposure: $9.3600 - Fees: $0.6000 **Resolution:** This market has resolved. Add notes about the outcome.
YES
NYT reference to AI
Position20 × $0.47
Exposure $9.4000
Fees -$0.3500
Total Traded $9.4000
EDIT: Add your commentary about this market here. **Market Details:** - Ticker: `NYTOAI-27DEC31` - Position: YES 20 contracts - Exposure: $9.4000 - Fees: $0.3500 **Resolution:** This market has resolved. Add notes about the outcome.
YES
Stephen Colbert appearance
Position88 × $0.11
Exposure $9.3800
Fees -$0.5900
Total Traded $9.3800
EDIT: Add your commentary about this market here. **Market Details:** - Ticker: `KXJOINSTEPHENCOLBERT-26JAN-APP` - Position: YES 88 contracts - Exposure: $9.3800 - Fees: $0.5900 **Resolution:** This market has resolved. Add notes about the outcome.
NO
OpenAI AGI announcement
Position32 × $0.59
Exposure $18.8800
Fees -$0.5500
Total Traded $18.8800
EDIT: Add your commentary about this market here. **Market Details:** - Ticker: `OAIAGI-29` - Position: NO 32 contracts - Exposure: $18.8800 - Fees: $0.5500 **Resolution:** This market has resolved. Add notes about the outcome.

Recent Fills

TimeMarketSideQtyPrice
1 day agoKXDJTVOSTARIFFSNO225¢
7 days agoKXRETIREPELOSI-26NO114¢
7 days agoKXRETIREPELOSI-26NO1015¢
14 days agoKXRETIREPELOSI-26YES1116¢
14 days agoKXCALLIMPEACHRCONGRESS-26NO289¢
15 days agoKXOTEEPSTEIN-26-MLAWNO1091¢
16 days agoKXOTEEPSTEIN-26-MLAWNO454¢
16 days agoKXOTEEPSTEIN-26-MLAWNO1092¢
16 days agoKXCODINGMODEL-26JAN-ANTHYES2636¢
17 days agoKXIMPEACH-27-JAN01NO3115¢

Statistics

10 predictions · 1 resolved · 9 pending
Accuracy 100% · Avg confidence 71%

Calibration

RangeAccuracyn
80-89%100%1
YearAccuracyn
2025100%1

Version Control

Markdown + SHA-256 + Git timestamps
github.com/ejfox/website2/content/predictions/
View commit history →