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Apple will announce consumer AR glasses (not headset) priced under $1,200 by December 31, 2027

· Dec 31, 2027

Evidence

Resolution Criteria

This prediction resolves TRUE if Apple makes an official announcement by December 31, 2027 of consumer AR glasses meeting ALL of the following criteria:

  1. Official Announcement: Must be announced through official Apple channels (keynote, press release, Apple.com)
  2. Form Factor: Must be glasses form factor, NOT a bulky headset like Vision Pro
  3. Consumer Product: Must announce consumer availability, not just developer kits or enterprise versions
  4. Price Point: MSRP must be under $1,200 USD at time of announcement
  5. Timeline: Announcement must occur by December 31, 2027

Edge Cases:

  • If multiple SKUs are announced, the cheapest consumer model must be under $1,200
  • Pre-orders or "coming soon" announcements count as long as price is specified
  • Currency fluctuations: USD price at time of announcement is what matters

Evidence and Reasoning

Supporting Evidence:

  • Ming-Chi Kuo analyst reports indicate Apple smart glasses mass production starting Q2 2027
  • Meta Ray-Ban glasses selling "as fast as produced" at $299, proving market demand
  • Apple's Vision Pro at $3,499 creates room for a mid-tier AR product
  • Industry trend toward lighter, more affordable AR devices
  • Apple's historical pattern of premium pricing (2-3x competitors) suggests $600-900 realistic range