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A federal court will issue findings of fact documenting unlawful deaths at ICE detention facilities between January 2025 and December 2027

· Dec 31, 2027

Evidence

Resolution Criteria

This prediction resolves TRUE if a federal court issues findings of fact meeting ALL criteria:

  1. Federal Court: US District Court, Circuit Court of Appeals, or Supreme Court
  2. Official Finding: Published ruling, order, or judgment with findings of fact (not just allegations or motions)
  3. Unlawful Deaths: Court explicitly finds that unlawful killings or deaths occurred due to negligence/misconduct
  4. ICE Facilities: Deaths occurred at ICE-operated or ICE-contracted detention facilities
  5. Timeline: Deaths occurred between January 1, 2025 and December 31, 2027
  6. Public Record: Court documents available through PACER, court websites, or legal databases

Qualifying Findings:

  • Medical negligence resulting in preventable deaths
  • Use of excessive force leading to death
  • Failure to provide adequate care, safety, or supervision
  • Deliberate indifference to serious medical needs
  • Unsafe conditions leading to fatalities

Documentation Requirements:

  • Court must make factual findings, not just legal conclusions
  • Specific facility and incident details in court record
  • Clear causal connection between ICE custody and unlawful death

Evidence and Reasoning

Historical Pattern:

  • 40+ deaths in ICE custody reported between 2017-2020
  • Previous court findings of inadequate medical care in ICE facilities
  • Pattern of delayed or denied medical treatment documented by advocates
  • Multiple ongoing lawsuits challenging ICE detention conditions

Systemic Issues:

  • Private contractor facilities with profit incentives to minimize costs
  • Inadequate medical staffing at many ICE facilities
  • Limited oversight and transparency in detention operations
  • Vulnerable population with existing health conditions